Economics · University of Louisville

Harper P. Stephens

I build models of how people respond before change arrives, then hold them to the data. My work pairs structural modeling, including mean field games, with applied causal inference.

B.A. in Economics, Mathematics minor · Expected May 2027

969,829

worker residences in the calibration of my spatial model

46.7%

of modeled relocation happens before the factory opens

3.88

GPA in economics, graduating with distinction

24 hrs

to clean, model, and pitch at the 2026 EconGames, against 30 teams

News

Oct 2026

Presented “Before the Factory Opens” and “Educational Technology and Cognition” at the Kentucky Economic Association Annual Conference.

Sept 2026

Began tutoring intermediate macroeconomics on faculty recommendation.

June 2026

Selected for the University of South Carolina’s summer seminar on the trivium of the liberal arts.

Spring 2026

Defended my honors thesis before a three-member faculty committee.

Research

Selected work

Working paper · 2026

Before the Factory Opens

A spatial mean field game of anticipatory migration around Intel’s announced Ohio semiconductor plant, and what happens when the opening slips.

Read the abstract →

Work in progress

Time, Tools, Technology

Which devices, activities, and settings actually drive the educational returns to technology? Evidence from multiply imputed PISA 2018 data.

Read the abstract →

Honors thesis · 2026

Educational Technology and Cognition

How students’ use of technology relates to achievement in mathematics, reading, and science across countries.

Read the abstract →

Academic & Industry

Rigorous methods, practical answers

For research teams

Theory meets data

Working papers, conference presentations, and an honors thesis built on structural models and careful econometrics, plus experience teaching intermediate macroeconomics.

Academic CV  ·  Presentations

For industry

From messy data to decisions

I clean and combine large public datasets like Census LODES, BLS QCEW, and PISA microdata; build models in Python, R, and SQL; and explain the results to people who need to act on them.

Resume  ·  Contact

Interests

  • Industrial Organization
  • Causal Inference
  • International Economics
  • Mean Field Games

I’m currently branching into different fields within industrial organization.

Let’s talk

I’m exploring graduate study in economics, as well as research assistant and analyst roles beginning in 2027.

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